Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 9% on 31 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 31 Mar 2023 to 1 Jul 2023 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9% on 31 Mar 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 22 Jun 2023. $106.14K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 31 Mar 2023 – 1 Jul 2023, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2023 | 9.0% |
| 1 Jul 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Lynx 0619 | Yes | 12.35K |
| Fortunate-Coincidence | Yes | 4.95K |
| Sniveling-Vanity | Yes | 4.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Coinbase 1 minute candles for USDT-USD for any 24 hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 30 Mar '23 12:00 and 30 Jun '23 23:59 in the ET timezone. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e. 0.97999 or lower). A 24h period of USDT below 98 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. 30 Jun '23 22:00 to 01 Jul '23 22:00). The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the USDT-USD “High” prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/USDT-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase USDT-USD. If Coinbase stops having the necessary USDT information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDT was below 98 cents for 24h+ may be used to resolve this market.
Resolution source: https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/USDT-USD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-usdt-depeg-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 1K |
| cryptofade | Yes | 645.39 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 466.43 |
| Specific-Neck | Yes | 225 |
| darkpsico | Yes | 200 |
| Belated-Chalice | Yes | 200 |
| Trifling-Transformation | Yes | 150 |
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