Question 1

What is the “Will USD/CAD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will USD/CAD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

Right now Yes trades at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price,…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($85.69) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($75.84) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 3 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 16, 12:19 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-usdcad-hit-1pt25-low-in-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis
flexer78	No	6	71.0%	$6
romanew-7-spread05	Yes	5	11.0%	$5

Trader	Current holding value
flexer78	$3
romanew-7-spread05	$2.5
27kgfdogodgfg	$0.5

Will USD/CAD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Questions about this market