Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 8% on 17 Feb 2023. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2023 to 1 May 2023 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24% on 12 Mar 2023 and the lowest 1% on 5 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 24% on 12 Mar 2023. $40.18K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 11:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 17 Feb 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2023 | 8.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Azure Voyager 27C4 | Yes | 19.46K |
| Old-Arrogance | Yes | 4.85K |
| Previous-Bracelet | Yes | 438 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if USD Coin (USDC) redemption or minting is halted in the United States between February 15 and April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Redemption or minting must be halted by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes." An announcement that redemption or minting will be halted, but goes into effect after the resolution date, will not suffice to resolve this market "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be statements released by Circle (e.g. via https://www.circle.com/) and/or statements released by the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-usdc-redemption-or-minting-be-halted-in-the-us-by-april-30
| Yes |
| 405.6 |
| Imaginary-Calico | No | 2.11 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 0.09 |
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