Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24% on 5 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 24% on 5 Sep 2026 and the low 0.1% on 2 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 14.5% on 6 Sep 2026. $10.81K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 24.0% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.69K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 476.72 |
| balthazar | Yes | 130.26 |
| gctrader | Yes | 100 |
| rocky42004 | Yes | 73.48 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 59.61 |
| nana130299 | Yes | 57.03 |
| Neon Atlas F332 | Yes | 55.6 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 39.03 |
| stravid | Yes | 36 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-september-higher-strikes
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