Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 86 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 13% on 5 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Apr 2025. $61.85K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 4 Feb 2025 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2025 | 12.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EyesWideOpen911 | Yes | 692.31 |
| 69nostradamus69 | Yes | 20 |
| RSvlJTAEym | Yes | 2 |
On February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a national wealth fund. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration is operational by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the market to resolve to Yes, the fund must have an operational structure with appointed officials or a managing body, and hold at least one verifiable asset. The signing of additional executive orders or further announcements which do not meet this criteria will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-us-sovereign-wealth-fund-operational-in-trumps-first-100-days
| No |
| 0.02 |
| JohnnyCash7 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
