Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 24% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 24% on 12 Dec 2024 and the low 1.3% on 11 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 8% on 14 Dec 2024. $87.09K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 4:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 15 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 24.0% |
| 15 Jan 2025 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 24.64K |
| Robb1 | Yes | 4.37K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 4.25K |
| Paulpegasus | Yes | 1.84K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending December 2024 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by 2.7 percent over the 12 month period ending December 2024 and “No“ otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS December 2024 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 15, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. ---- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/december-inflation
| KingLee | Yes | 1K |
| Babygertssen19 | Yes | 1K |
| heuer | Yes | 997.35 |
| PeterEnis | Yes | 134.67 |
| paneletinho-095 | Yes | 83.05 |
| Dingo337 | Yes | 47.36 |
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