
Resolved Yes on 19 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 92% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 102 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 19 Sep 2025, the highest close was 100% on 6 Sep 2025 and the lowest 76.4% on 17 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 76.4% on 17 Aug 2025. $9.21K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 19 Sep 2025, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 92.0% |
| 19 Sep 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 5.14K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 413 |
| zoldado | No | 289.69 |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 14 |
| trystano | No | 10.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.