Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 26 Jul 2026, the highest close was 100% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 23 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 94 points up, to 94.7% on 24 Jul 2026. $1.34M traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 12:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 26 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 12.5% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hhhhhhhh123212 | No | 878.75K |
| yesworld28 | No | 192K |
| starquants1 | No | 43.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-final-uptspt-viewership-20260717004559442
| No |
| 13.34K |
| carismydad | No | 8.26K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.92K |
| r5t6y7 | No | 6K |
| neutralwave23 | No | 4.8K |
| redactxd | No | 3.2K |
| Bageb | No | 3K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
