Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.1%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.7% on 15 Feb 2026 and the low 88.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.3 points up, to 97.8% on 4 Feb 2026. $66.6K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 16 Feb 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 88.5% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | 99.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| raybeneth | No | 3.08K |
| predictgeek | No | 1.45K |
| sanfeng | No | 500 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 453 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The Spring Festival Gala is a celebration of the Chinese New Year set to air on February 16, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed brand has robot dancers featured at the Spring Festival Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only ground-based robots will count; drone displays will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only ground-based robots will count; drone displays will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Spring Festival Gala is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-robot-dancer-brands-will-feature-at-the-2026-spring-festival-gala
| Improbable-Thanks | No | 333.33 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 253 |
| songge9527 | No | 210.36 |
| TENETENET | No | 200 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 197 |
| supafan | No | 194.95 |
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