Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 63% on 11 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2023 to 14 Mar 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99% on 14 Mar 2023 and the lowest 42% on 12 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 42% on 12 Mar 2023. $52.92K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 10:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 11 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2023 | 63.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Arakia | No | 746.5 |
| Cheap-Bladder | No | 162.5 |
| Coral Summit C6D1 | No | 6.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
With the closing of Silicon Valley Bank, all uninsured depositors will receive dividends as SVB’s assets are liquidated, until depositors are either made whole or all assets are depleted. It is reported that SVB’s assets exceed that of its deposits. This market will resolve to “Yes” if depositors are made whole - as in this case, receive dividends that total approximately the same amount that they had deposited in SVB at time of failure, by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If uninsured depositors are made whole via any other method (i.e. government bailout, merger or acquisition, etc.), this market will also resolve to “Yes.” If depositors are not made whole by June 30, 2023, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the FDIC, other government-related entities direct reporting, and SVB direct reporting. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-uninsured-svb-depositors-get-all-their-money-back-by-june-30
| No |
| 5 |
| Royal Scout CAC7 | No | 1 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
