Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 91.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 2 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99.6% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 91.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.4 points up, to 98.9% on 27 Aug 2026. $632.28 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 2 Sep 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 91.5% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mojito9 | No | 20 |
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
| bjprolo | No | 8 |
| Menacing-Revitalization-Anorak | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Umia officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Umia after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Umia (https://x.com/umia_finance), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-umia-launch-a-token-by
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
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