Analytics
Trading ended on 2 Jun 2026 with Yes at 38%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 17 May 2026 to 20 May 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 41% on 20 May 2026.
$1.09 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is AtlasBear. with 1 shares; the largest No position is niglette with 1.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 8:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 17 May 2026 – 20 May 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 45.5% |
| 20 May 2026 | 41.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AtlasBear. | Yes | 1.09 |
| niglette | No | 1.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to Ulta's announced comparable sales growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Ulta's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ulta-q1-comparable-sales-growth
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