Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 41.5% on 10 Dec 2025 and the low 0.3% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 16% on 13 Dec 2025. $2.57K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 13, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 12 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 41.5% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.13K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 432.6 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 300.99 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 241.87 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) compared with the same quarter a year ago in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for February 12, 2026, 7:00 AM. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 236.97 |
| ng6000 | Yes | 162.51 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 126 |
| rated | Yes | 104 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 96 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 27.28 |
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