Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 21% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 9 Sep 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 21% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 49.5% on 15 Aug 2026. $350.4 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 10, 6:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 9 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 21.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals thereof. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An act will be considered to advance upon official declaration on the show's broadcast. Retractions, withdrawals, and disqualifications made after a qualifying announcement will not be considered. An act's eventual participation or non-participation in the Semifinals or Finals will not be considered. An act sent directly to the Final by a Golden Buzzer will count as advancing. If the listed act is not declared to advance by the end of the Quarterfinals, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the listed act has not been declared to advance, and the Quarterfinals have not finished, by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/americas-got-talent-s21-who-advances-from-quarterfinals-20260812141939500
| Yes |
| 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
