Analytics
Yes is at 1.5%, down 40 points from 41.5% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
Across the 59 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2%; a month before, 5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 14% on 11 Sep 2026.
Ty Majeski ranks fifth of the 5 outcomes in “NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Champion (2026)”. Kaden Honeycutt leads at 78.5%; Layne Riggs is at 12.5%.
$494.97 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $851.23, with a 2.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 23 trades, $8.03 bought Yes and $263.98 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Winged-Holder with 94 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 136.
Trading closes on 21 Nov 2026, 22 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 41.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 135.74 |
| Winged-Holder | Yes | 94.11 |
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f. | Yes | 93.95 |
This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series season is cancelled, postponed after November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nascar-craftsman-truck-series-champion-2026
| wsk193130 | Yes | 76 |
| Garmonbozia | No | 75 |
| macrosteaks | No | 59.99 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| oneoftheppl | No | 21 |
| sweetj | No | 20 |
| pushthatthing | Yes | 13.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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