Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 20 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 166 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 12.5% on 20 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 19 Dec 2023. $14.18K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 166 points, 20 Jul 2023 – 1 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2023 | 12.5% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leoleoleoleo | Yes | 1.07K |
| "Aliens!" said Biden... NOT! | Yes | 120.01 |
| parakeet | Yes | 109.87 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Twitter, any subsidiary of Twitter, or any Parent of twitter announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels (e.g. https://blog.twitter.com/, etc.), as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Twitter. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-twitter-announce-bankruptcy-in-2023
| Yes |
| 20 |
| Luminous-Severity | Yes | 12.5 |
| adarsh | No | 0.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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