
Resolved No on 17 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 15 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 15 Nov 2025 to 17 Nov 2025, the highest close was 31.5% on 15 Nov 2025 and the lowest 6.5% on 16 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 6.5% on 16 Nov 2025. $4.62K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 18, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Nov 2025 – 17 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | 31.5% |
| 17 Nov 2025 | 8.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.49K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 893.99 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 638 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. This market will resolve according to the first-round turnout percentage, calculated as “Total votación” divided by “Total inscritos.” If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turnout-in-2025-chile-presidential-election-first-round-higher-brackets
| Yes |
| 268.08 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 130 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 123 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 111 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 79 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | Yes | 21 |
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