Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7% on 19 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 19 May 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 56% on 20 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 56 points down, to 0.1% on 21 May 2026. $15.47K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 2:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 19 May 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 7.0% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.43K |
| seal7 | Yes | 473.17 |
| Brave-Actor | Yes | 333.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026 This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ky-04-republican-primary-turnout
| Yes |
| 164.97 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| 11vvr | Yes | 79.99 |
| docalpha | Yes | 68.22 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 50.31 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| wolfmoon | Yes | 35.43 |
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