Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 27.1% on 13 Dec 2025 and the low 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 20.3% on 3 Dec 2025. $71.96K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 53 points · 11 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 2.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.5K |
| GUADANHAO | Yes | 2K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 1K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the listed participant with the highest PnL at the end of the Defi App trading competition starting on November 10, 2025. The resolution source will be the Defi App Leaderboard on https://app.defi.app/contest. If two or more participants are tied for the highest PnL at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the participant whose display name appears first in alphabetical order on the official Defi App leaderboard. If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Defi App. If no such data becomes available by January 31, 2026 ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” Note: The official competition includes a large number of participants, however this market will resolve solely based on the listed group of KOL participants. Traders who are not eligible KOLs will not be considered. An eligible KOL will be considered to have won if they are the top trader out of eligible KOLs, regardless of if one of the non-KOL participants finishes ahead of them.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-defi-app-trading-competition
| acal | Yes | 480 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 477 |
| Userp6a | Yes | 333 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 221 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 211 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 205 |
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