Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 67.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 67.5% on 28 Mar 2026 and the low 41.5% on 4 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 65% on 11 Dec 2025. $170.76K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 10:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 99 points · 10 Dec 2025 – 29 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anon333 | No | 2K |
| funky24 | No | 1.18K |
| Humiliating-Publicity | No | 1.14K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 955 |
| unrest | No | 320.75 |
| Lavincey | No | 280.62 |
| cyberteam36 | No | 250 |
| Chickenwin7 | No | 226.39 |
| John3501 | No | 114.99 |
| burhJ | No | 112 |
