Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 210 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 21 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 6.5% on 22 Nov 2025. $6K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 7:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 210 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| SaucePolly1 | Yes | 15 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 14.99 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 9.13 |
| ZakazDostavlen | Yes | 8.33 |
| medbaf | No | 1.04 |
| Colala | No | 0.07 |
| elpatrondelaciudad | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
