Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 12 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2024 to 19 Jul 2024, the highest close was 99.6% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 15% on 13 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 69 points up, to 84% on 14 Jul 2024. $7.35K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 12:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 12 Jul 2024 – 19 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2024 | 51.5% |
| 19 Jul 2024 | 99.6% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Tucker Carlson will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech from the main stage of the convention. A speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-speak-at-republican-national-convention
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