Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 65% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 65% on 22 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 25.5% on 25 Nov 2025. $12.38K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | 65.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 319 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 298 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 193.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Tesla (TSLA) hit before 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-tsla-hit-before-2026
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| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 121.97 |
| ExoD | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 66.69 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 49.52 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 47.06 |
