Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 79.5% on 26 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 26 Dec 2025 to 2 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 79.5% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 96% on 27 Dec 2025. $10.46K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 26 Dec 2025 – 2 Jan 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | 79.5% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GUADANHAO | No | 2K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 454 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 357 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 343 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in January 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-tsla-hit-in-january-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 225 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 214 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 158 |
| mumu456 | No | 150 |
| t189 | No | 100 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 50 |
