Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 1 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 1 Mar 2026 and the low 8% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 8% on 2 Mar 2026. $4.55K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 1 Mar 2026 – 2 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 25.5% |
| 2 Mar 2026 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Beacon 5319 | Yes | 223.71 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| Sk1z | Yes | 199.99 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| jiaodaoshan | Yes | 90.86 |
| BurningNation11 | Yes | 83.33 |
| dushaoye | Yes | 26.96 |
| psymon | Yes | 18.29 |
| mdgc | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2, 2026 (https://www.army.mil/article-amp/290785/president_trump_to_award_medal_of_honor). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on March 2, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-medal-of-honor-ceremony-on-march-2
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