Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 12 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 38.5% on 12 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 15 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 6% on 13 Jun 2026. $4.46K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 3:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Jun 2026 – 15 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 38.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| redstar1987 | Yes | 50.5 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 46 |
| degbetting | Yes | 27.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is spoken by Donald Trump during the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast on June 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the entirety of the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pre-fight and post-fight segments. Prerecorded clips of Trump speaking will not count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a term, a full-phrase mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about "United / States 5+ times," a mention of "United States" will count once; if a market is about "Joe / Biden" 5+ times, a mention of "Joe Biden" will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this event is only partially available by June 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official CBS and Paramount+ broadcast of this event. Only remarks made live by Donald Trump during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-ufc-freedom-250-20260611142620117
| placeholder63 | Yes | 25.06 |
| YFMRIskPremiaBot | Yes | 10.2 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.09 |
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