Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 33% on 4 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2023 to 5 Apr 2023, the highest close was 33% on 4 Apr 2023 and the lowest 1% on 5 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 1% on 5 Apr 2023. $7.64K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 7, 12:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 4 Apr 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2023 | 33.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violent-Jodhpurs | Yes | 2.45K |
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 400 |
| Weak-Spaghetti | Yes | 25 |
| Violet Meteor 05E8 | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of ex-president Donald John Trump taken after April 2 is made widely available to the public by Wednesday, April 5, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of Donald Trump becomes widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trumps-mugshot-be-public-by-wednesday
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