Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 2.6% on 3 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 2.6% on 3 Oct 2026 and the low 0.5% on 4 Oct 2026. $569.89 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 11:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 3 Oct 2026 – 4 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ConfusedUngaBunga | Yes | 413 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| f54940e77 | Yes | 38.9 |
| jfkjdfj3 | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 9.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Vandalia, Ohio on October 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-vandalia-ohio-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Ohio on October 3, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-ohio-october-3
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