Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 5 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2026 to 6 Aug 2026, the highest close was 16.5% on 5 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 0.1% on 6 Aug 2026. $654.39 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 5 Aug 2026 – 6 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | 16.5% |
| 6 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 427.33 |
| Jamieeee | Yes | 80 |
| qcp14 | Yes | 61.8 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolution source: https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trumps-las-vegas-remarks-be-20260803160957754
| yen4u | Yes | 27.79 |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 14.62 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10.1 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| Simplistic-Vagrant | Yes | 5.26 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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