Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 18% on 14 Jan 2025 and the low 0.3% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 0.3% on 21 Jan 2025. $6.8K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 1:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 10 Jan 2025 – 21 Jan 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 17.5% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.39K |
| futou-tincoi | Yes | 89.28 |
| GCA0310 | Yes | 27.78 |
| Youreright | Yes | 25 |
| Azure Kestrel 5165 | Yes | 20 |
| Neon Oracle C703 | Yes | 5.56 |
| Lunar Scout C3B6 | Yes | 2 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.03 |
| vveranddnis | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 1,800 (inclusive) and 2,000 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-words-will-trump-inaugural-address-be
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