Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 23.5% on 11 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. $10.18K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 12:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 23.0% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.39K |
| Neon Oracle C703 | Yes | 29.41 |
| Azure Kestrel 5165 | Yes | 20 |
| Lunar Scout C3B6 | Yes | 7.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 1,600 (inclusive) and 1,800 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-words-will-trump-inaugural-address-be
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