Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2025 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 2.4% on 17 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 19 Jan 2025. $16.88K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 5:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 8 Jan 2025 – 20 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2025 | 1.1% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.35K |
| captain0 | Yes | 1.33K |
| AlexSilver1 | Yes | 408.15 |
| Noobtradee | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 12 minutes (inclusive) and 14 minutes (exclusive) in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his inaugural address until the moment he finishes his inaugural address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-trumps-inauguration-speech-be
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