Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.2%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2025 to 5 Apr 2025, the highest close was 98.2% on 5 Apr 2025 and the lowest 6.5% on 31 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 98.2% on 5 Apr 2025. $20.03K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 10:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 Mar 2025 – 5 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | 50.0% |
| 5 Apr 2025 | 98.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.97K |
| Solar Meteor 51F3 | No | 900 |
| Jade Maven E470 | No | 735 |
| Neon Sphinx 97C7 | No | 135 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 4, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-april-4
| Amber Harbor B336 | No | 20 |
| Misty Sphinx 6437 | No | 20 |
| Solar Comet B3F3 | No | 10 |
| Crimson Comet 7A5E | No | 10 |
| JDULIA | Yes | 0.02 |
| Pestle | Yes | 0.01 |
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