Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 19, 2025?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$26.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 20, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 20 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 66.8%. Yes opened at 38% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 66.8% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 8.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 66.8% on 20 Dec 2025. $26.4K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 4:40 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 20 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Dec 2025	38.0%
20 Dec 2025	66.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	8.19K
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	664
Emerald Pioneer D14A	No	452
Jade Harbor B075	No	316

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 19, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.