Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.8%. Yes opened at 7.2% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Dec 2025 to 27 Dec 2025, the highest close was 7.2% on 23 Dec 2025 and the lowest 6% on 26 Dec 2025. $7.57K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 28, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 27 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | 7.2% |
| 27 Dec 2025 | 7.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.73K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 399 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 398 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 231 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 26, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-december-26
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 183 |
| xiaoxiaona | Yes | 167.45 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 155.99 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| wuhuis | Yes | 143.63 |
| papaer | Yes | 138.02 |
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