Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.8K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 12, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.8%. Yes opened at 38% on 8 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 12 Sep 2026, the highest close was 38% on 8 Sep 2026 and the lowest 14.2% on 12 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 18% on 9 Sep 2026. $2.77K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 12 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–50%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Sep 2026	38.0%
12 Sep 2026	14.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	772.55
Prize-Jar	Yes	238.5
GuyFromTinder	Yes	82

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.