Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jun 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 13, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 13 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 63%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 6 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2026 to 13 Jun 2026, the highest close was 65% on 11 Jun 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 6 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 53% on 7 Jun 2026. $3.1K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 14, 12:35 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 13 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Jun 2026	30.5%
13 Jun 2026	63.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.49K
09F911029D74	No	200
lucyintheskywithdiamonds	No	10.9
rocketcrypto	No	10

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.