Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 17 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 17 May 2025 to 24 May 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 24 May 2025 and the lowest 12% on 20 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 73% on 21 May 2025. $25.64K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 May 2025 – 24 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2025 | 27.5% |
| 24 May 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.31K |
| Crimson Atlas F2E4 | No | 965 |
| Coral Comet B6D3 | No | 760 |
| Golden Raven D75A | No | 240 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 23, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23
| Misty Scout 140B | No | 15 |
| Quiet Summit 7B41 | No | 5 |
| Azure Signal FBC9 | No | 5 |
| Quiet Vector 90D9 | No | 5 |
| Royal Pulse 90F7 | No | 5 |
| praeclarus | No | 1.12 |
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