Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 42% on 6 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 42% on 6 Sep 2025 and the low 0.4% on 10 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 3% on 7 Sep 2025. $5.53K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 14, 4:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 6 Sep 2025 – 13 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2025 | 42.0% |
| 13 Sep 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.38K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.75K |
| Unripe-Difficulty | Yes | 377.06 |
| mrrouqe2 | Yes | 263.55 |
| Curvy-Tailor | Yes | 22.22 |
| JoE | Yes | 13 |
| Tysha | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 12, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-september-12
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