Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 41% on 4 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2025 to 6 Mar 2025, the highest close was 63.5% on 5 Mar 2025 and the lowest 4.5% on 6 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 59 points down, to 4.5% on 6 Mar 2025. $39.06K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 2:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Mar 2025 – 6 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2025 | 41.0% |
| 6 Mar 2025 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lalaf | Yes | 7.65K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.37K |
| FGHGJ6 | Yes | 11.27 |
| Kalinko | Yes | 7.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump's first address to a joint session of congress for his second term is scheduled for March 4, 2025, 9 PM ET. You can read more about it here: https://www.npr.org/2025/03/03/nx-s1-5313468/trump-joint-session-of-congress This market will resolve according to the number of viewers Nielsen reports this joint session of Congress as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the speech within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-viewers-will-trumps-address-to-congress-get
| akl-4ibm | No | 0.03 |
| smartmoney.no.smart.no.money | No | 0.03 |
| bistrogons | No | 0.01 |
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