Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0%; no result has been reported.
Across the 31 daily closes on record from 26 Jan 2024 to 25 Feb 2024, the highest close was 53.5% on 26 Jan 2024 and the lowest 8.5% on 24 Feb 2024. A week before that last close Yes was at 25%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 15.5% on 27 Jan 2024.
$217.93K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is mbacurtis with 780 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 210.6K.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 3:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 26 Jan 2024 – 25 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2024 | 53.5% |
| 25 Feb 2024 | 12.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 210.62K |
| mbacurtis | Yes | 779.88 |
| MAGAMaxxing | Yes | 349.9 |
| 21kjsij2kl23 | Yes | 333.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary by between 40% (inclusive) and 50% (inclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-margin-of-victory-in-south-carolina-primary
New to prediction markets?
| MamdaniShill | Yes | 77.5 |
| anders.sb | Yes | 9.09 |
| Cosmic Oracle 7190 | Yes | 9 |
