Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 100%; no result has been reported.
Across the 36 daily closes on record from 26 Jan 2024 to 1 Mar 2024, the highest close was 99.2% on 1 Mar 2024 and the lowest 14.5% on 1 Feb 2024. A week before that last close Yes was at 38%; a month before, 17.5%. Its largest one-day move was 60 points up, to 97.8% on 26 Feb 2024.
$420.92K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is PnLMaN with 14 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 210.6K.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 3:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 26 Jan 2024 – 1 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2024 | 20.0% |
| 1 Mar 2024 | 99.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 210.62K |
| Xerco | No | 14.46 |
| PnLMaN | Yes | 13.7 |
| Cosmic Oracle 7190 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary by between 20% (inclusive) and 30% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-margin-of-victory-in-south-carolina-primary
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