Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0%; no result has been reported.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2024 to 28 Feb 2024, the highest close was 15.5% on 25 Feb 2024 and the lowest 5.5% on 26 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 5.5% on 26 Feb 2024.
$56.6K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is CJJ with 8.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 18.5K.
Polymarket record as of Apr 22, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 24 Feb 2024 – 28 Feb 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2024 | 15.0% |
| 28 Feb 2024 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.52K |
| CJJ | Yes | 8.75K |
| 68D00B23d | Yes | 177.83 |
| sharingan-kakashi | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Michigan Primary by more than 60% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican Michigan Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-margin-of-victory-in-michigan-primary
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