Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 100%; no result has been reported.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2024 to 3 Mar 2024, the highest close was 99.6% on 3 Mar 2024 and the lowest 21% on 26 Feb 2024. A week before that last close Yes was at 25%. Its largest one-day move was 64 points up, to 98.5% on 29 Feb 2024.
$55.32K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is polyproguy with 0 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 18.5K.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 24 Feb 2024 – 3 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2024 | 23.0% |
| 3 Mar 2024 | 99.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.52K |
| Tenable-Dome | No | 0.05 |
| polyproguy | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Michigan Primary by between 40% (inclusive) and 50% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican Michigan Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-margin-of-victory-in-michigan-primary
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