Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 18 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2024 to 19 Jul 2024, the highest close was 10.5% on 18 Jul 2024 and the lowest 5.1% on 19 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.4 points down, to 5.1% on 19 Jul 2024. $30.55K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 7:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 18 Jul 2024 – 19 Jul 2024, chart shows 2%–14%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2024 | 10.5% |
| 19 Jul 2024 | 5.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 50 Cent's song "Many Men" plays at any point as Donald Trump walks out to give his main speech at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's "main speech" is defined as his scheduled speech on Thursday, July 18, 2024. The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of the RNC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-walk-out-to-50-cents-many-men
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| No |
| 0.01 |
