Will Trump visit Minneapolis-Saint Paul by January 16?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.9K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 17, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 17 Jan 2026, the highest close was 29.5% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 9% on 10 Jan 2026. $2.89K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 8:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 17 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Jan 2026	29.5%
17 Jan 2026	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Kosher-Appliance	Yes	135.63
Flippant-Discrimination	Yes	99.27
minato69	Yes	64.98
PolyKetCat	Yes	17

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Minneapolis or Saint Paul between market creation and January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed cities. Whether or not Trump enters the cities’ airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.