Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 20 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2023 to 16 Nov 2023, the highest close was 22.5% on 20 Oct 2023 and the lowest 0.8% on 13 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 5% on 21 Oct 2023. $9.01K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 7:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 20 Oct 2023 – 16 Nov 2023, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2023 | 22.5% |
| 16 Nov 2023 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| winging_it_as_usual | Yes | 102.04 |
| Cefri | Yes | 83.33 |
| 793joel | Yes | 63.12 |
| BlumpkinSpiceLatte | Yes | 33.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If Donald J. Trump visits Israel between October 19 and November 15, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Trump enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-israel-by-nov-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
