Analytics
Resolved No on 9 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 15 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 6% on 15 Apr 2026 and the low 0.1% on 6 May 2026. $784.05K traded over the market's life.
148 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 4:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 21 points · 15 Apr 2026 – 9 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2026 | 6.0% |
| 9 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Surprised-Instrument | Yes | 98.91K |
| FayeRory | Yes | 25K |
| Molipaiju | Yes | 10K |
| y66 | Yes | 7.75K |
| Wee-Authorisation | Yes | 7K |
| Pleased-Guess | Yes | 6.66K |
| Duv4le | Yes | 5K |
| govindaa | Yes | 5K |
| kingscrypto | Yes | 5K |
| Unlawful-Deficit | Yes | 5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-china-by
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