
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 30 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 May 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 10.5% on 30 May 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.3 points down, to 3.2% on 31 May 2024. $34.32K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 11:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 May 2024 – 1 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2024 | 10.5% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wanmeisdf | No | 0.2 |
| yangzong | No | 0.2 |
| haohaodoa | No | 0.16 |
| jiaozi-522 | No | 0.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's official Twitter/X account and/or Truth Social account (both @realDonaldTrump) post "😹🫵" between May 29, 2024, 5:00 PM ET and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" the relevant emojis must be posted together in the exact order as quoted in this market with a minimum of 0 and a maximum of 3 spaces between each other. No substitute emojis will be accepted, nor textual representations of the emojis. Images or videos containing these emojis will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. All top-level posts, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be Donald Trump's verified X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump) and his official Truth Social account (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump). Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified X/Twitter and/or Truth Social accounts count for this market, regardless of the URL for the profiles. If Donald Trump posts from any other account, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-tweet-before-july
| Calculating-Scene | No | 0.14 |
| rtyui4 | No | 0.14 |
| manmanjjio | No | 0.14 |
| shaguadan | No | 0.14 |
| meoiemiemei | No | 0.14 |
| yamaxili | No | 0.13 |
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