Will Trump tweet again by Sep 30?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 1, 2023 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$84

Resolved

Settled

Oct 1, 2023 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Oct 2023.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 10% on 29 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2023 to 1 Oct 2023, the highest close was 27.5% on 30 Aug 2023 and the lowest 2.5% on 30 Sep 2023. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 27.5% on 30 Aug 2023. $84.09 traded over the market's life.

3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 6:08 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 29 Aug 2023 – 1 Oct 2023, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
29 Aug 2023	10.0%
1 Oct 2023	2.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Julian-gambling	Yes	20
izkurten	Yes	12
Ivory Orbit C1A6	No	1

3 of 3 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules